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"As of mid-May 2026, the fund's structure remains as announced: $25 B over 3 years drawn from federal borrowing, no Norway-style fiscal rule, no statutory prohibition on political direction, and no legislated mandate yet — only a "transition office" and a promise of consultations. Carney's broader fiscal anchors (a declining deficit-to-GDP ratio and operating-budget balance by 2028-29) were assessed by interim PBO Jason Jacques in his November 14, 2025 report *Budget 2025: Issues for Parliamentarians* (RP-2526-017-S) as having only a 7.5% probability of holding every year from 2026-27 to 2029-30."
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Position 1025 · 602 characters (within the extraction window)
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