On the record see profile →
Pass 5 becomes a collaborative investigation if two or more priority-list researchers respond substantively
PASS 4 — The Researchers, The Natural Experiments, and the T
“If two or more of the priority-list researchers (Daoust, Bennett, Stephenson, Fournier, Kennedy) respond substantively, Pass 5 becomes a *collaborative* investigation rather than a solo forensic one.”
VERIFIED — a word-for-word match in the stored source
The probability is ~40% within 12 months, near-certain on at least one within 24 months
PASS 4 — The Researchers, The Natural Experiments, and the T
“obability: ~40% within 12 months, near-certain on at least one within 24 months”
VERIFIED — a word-for-word match in the stored source
The combined evidence of 4–6 riding-level pre-vs-actual comparisons through 2026 strengthens the systematic-miss claim materially
PASS 4 — The Researchers, The Natural Experiments, and the T
“The combined evidence of 4–6 riding-level pre-vs-actual comparisons through 2026 strengthens the systematic-miss claim materially.”
VERIFIED — a word-for-word match in the stored source
Each 2026 by-election is a free natural experiment
PASS 4 — The Researchers, The Natural Experiments, and the T
“Each is a free natural experiment.”
VERIFIED — a word-for-word match in the stored source
Disputed — who says what, against what see standalone →
These are things people say about Pass 5 that aren't settled fact — each one attributed to who's actually claiming it, so a claim never quietly passes as established just because it showed up in a document. Weigh it yourself.
Disputed
"The decisive question for Pass 5 is documentary, not theoretical"
Unattributed assertion · stance: neutral
Not yet independently weighed — one source's claim, unconfirmed elsewhere.
PASS 4 — The Researchers, The Natural Experiments, and the T ↗
People
Kennedymember of
Colin Bennettmember of
Laura Stephensonmember of
Jean-François Daoustmember of
Philippe J. Fourniermember of